Strategic simulation for defence technology
Where capability meets strategy.
Simulation
Adaptation
Innovation
Scientific Wargaming
Three ways to test a capability under pressure.
AI Simulation
Rapid multi-run scenario analysis using structured role agents, decision scoring, and post-run synthesis. Best for exploring assumptions, comparing crisis pathways, and generating early evidence before a live workshop.
Strategic Workshops
Facilitated tabletop exercises for founders, executives, operators, investors, advisers, and policy stakeholders. Best for leadership alignment, user insight, and capability storytelling.
Hybrid Human-AI Exercises
Human workshops combined with AI simulation runs to compare decision pathways, identify convergence and divergence, and expose where judgement, automation, organisational friction, and escalation pressure change the outcome.
Method
Each project produces a concise analytical report identifying where the capability proves decisive, where assumptions fail, and how the organisation should position the capability to government, investors, partners, or end users.
01
Define the capability and claim.
02
Build the crisis scenario.
03
Run the simulation or workshop.
04
Deliver the decision report.
Public research
Leuctra Strategy Lab builds on published research and public-facing work on AI-assisted strategic simulation, nuclear escalation, deterrence, and high-stakes decision-making.
The Heritage Foundation
From Catastrophic Stability to Optimal Instability
AI simulation and tabletop exercise analysis of U.S.–China theatre nuclear escalation, limited nuclear war, and deterrence under high-intensity conflict.
Read report
RUSI UK PONI
AI Will Not Start Nuclear War — But It May Change How We Think About It
Analysis of how AI-assisted reasoning may alter nuclear decision-making, intelligence assessment, and strategic judgement.
Read article
Middlebury Institute of International Studies
Three-Dimensional Deterrence
Lecture on large-scale AI simulations of U.S.–Russia–China nuclear conflict, escalation feedback loops, and deterrence in a two-peer nuclear environment.
Watch lecture
FILLING The CREDIBILITY gap
Strategic potential requires empirical proof.
A successful demonstration can show that a system works. It does not show whether commanders will trust it, whether adversaries will adapt around it, whether it survives friction, or whether it creates a compelling operational and procurement case. Strategic simulation turns technical claims into decision-relevant evidence.
Evidence
Adaptation
Trust
Founder
Leo Alexander Keay is a PhD researcher in Defence Studies at King’s College London. His work focuses on wargaming, nuclear escalation, AI-assisted decision-making, and high-stakes crisis simulation. He has worked with Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s Center for Global Security Research and the Heritage Foundation. He has conducted defence-focused wargaming and simulation research with UK and US policy communities. Leuctra Strategy Lab translates this research into practical strategic simulations for defence and dual-use technology firms.
King’s College London
LLNL CGSR
Heritage Foundation
Contact
Tell us what capability, threat environment, or strategic problem you want to test. Leuctra Strategy Lab can design an AI simulation, strategic workshop, or hybrid human-AI exercise around it.